Nate Silver predicted 49 out of the 50 senate races in 2010. He is giving Obama a 63.3% chance vs. Romney 36.7% chance . (Before the debate Obama had a 85% change of winning ).
It changes daily based on state/national polls.
I cant really gove you an answer,but what I can give you is a way to a solution, that is you have to find the anglde that you relate to or peaks your interest. A good paper is one that people get drawn into because it reaches them ln some way.As for me WW11 to me, I think of the holocaust and the effect it had on the survivors, their families and those who stood by and did nothing until it was too late.