GDP Surprises to the Downside: Is the U.S. Next?

October 27, 2009 by Bryan Banish The last time I wrote about global GDP, European countries Germany and France were surprising to the upside. Last week was the opposite for Britain. The United Kingdom was the first of the major economies to report on its third quarter growth in gross domestic product or GDP.

Most economists were expecting a positive statistic but the UK National Statistics reported a further contraction of 0.4% from the prior quarter on its index of national output. Given the many similarities between the United States and the United Kingdom, the U.K. economic numbers are worth a look. It is also worth questioning whether the U.S. will also surprise to the downside when it reports later this week.

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