Will Sarah Palin's Tea Party split the Republican vote in 2012 causing President Obama to win a second term?

Those who are TEA party Republicans may gain more seats. That will be a win for the TEA party and a loss for Obama. Winning a second term with a Republican House and Senate will mean he actually has to engage in the spirit and intent of birpartisanship.

I don't think his ego will allow him that.

I don't think you need to worry about that. Romney will trounce the socialist. Only the very young and very naive will vote for Obama this time.

There is no such thing as "reliable poling data". And even if it is reliable its only indicative of the way things are on the day the poll is taken. Lots can change between now and election day.

I have a gut feeling that we will be taking the garbage out in the fall.

I cant really gove you an answer,but what I can give you is a way to a solution, that is you have to find the anglde that you relate to or peaks your interest. A good paper is one that people get drawn into because it reaches them ln some way.As for me WW11 to me, I think of the holocaust and the effect it had on the survivors, their families and those who stood by and did nothing until it was too late.