Could a Hurricane Katrina strike the Middle Atlantic states?

Yes! The two major coastal urban areas, Hampton Roads, Va. , and New York City metropolitan area have had close encounters with hurricanes.

Category 2 hurricanes nearly struck the Hampton Roads area in 1933 and 1936. Category 3--Katrina strength hurricanes--have tracked fewer than 50 miles offshore. The low-lying area, which is located in southeastern Virginia, has a population of more than a million.

A direct hit of a Category 3 or stronger hurricane could inundate the homes of more than a half million residents. Category 1 hurricanes have tracked over or within a few miles of New York City in 1821, 1893 and 1976. A Category 3 hurricane came ashore on Long Island, within 60 miles of New York City, in 1938.

That disaster killed 600 people in New England. While an extremely rare event--it has not happened in the past 400 years--a Category 3 or stronger hurricane might follow a path much closer to the New York metropolitan area than the storm of 1938. Casualties could exceed the more ... more.

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