Is there a chance that Ron Paul can win the 2012 election?

Now I sincerely believe Ron Paul has a chance to win and let me explain why. Now while Ron Paul has not won any primaries, he has definitely placed very strongly in both. Since Iowa doesn't assign delegates until much later but we can speculate that they'll be spread fairly evenly between Romney, Paul, and Santorum.

This places Paul in a pretty good start. In fact, this placement proves that no matter how much the establishment fights against him, he still has a great following. If you're debating the fact the establishment is against Paul, that's just laughable.

The amount of bias against the man is staggering,. Even with his second place finish in NH, you had news anchors saying he didn't matter and huntsman really took second. Now let's look at the competition, there is no denying that Romney is in it for the long run, only a fool would say otherwise.

So let's look at Santorum he pumped every dime he had in IA and that paid off for a good placing, but the strategy left him with no money. He could not capitalize on his momentum from IA and finished quite poorly in NH. Now we have SC, which he could capitalize on the fact there is more time and he didn't use almost any of the money he got from donations after winning IA.

Then you have to look at his organization, he has none and it has been horrible from the start. I just don't see Santorum capitalizing and taking much in SC. I could be wrong, but polling has shown Santorum going down not up.

Not to mention his Super PAC has closed up shop, if he doesn't do well in SC and I mean really well, I'd suspect Santorum will be dropping out soon. Perry is currently placing everything in SC and he recently got a big boost from a group of the far Christian right that came together and picked him as their favorite as they didn't want a Catholic or a Mormon. The problem is that SC doesn't care about Perry, he has consistently polled 5% even after spending a whole week basically by himself there.

I suspect Perry will crash and burn in SC and drop out. If he pulls an upset I'd be extremely surprised. Next we have Huntsman, this guy tried to pull a Santorum in NH (except he didn't use every single dime like Santorum did) and it didn't even pay off.

A third place finish in NH was embarrassing to Huntsman and I expect that he'll do even worse in SC which may finally convince him to drop out. He isn't even eligible for the Virginia, Illinois, or Arizona ballots. In fact, in the recent SC poll shows that Huntsman is losing to Stephen Colbert 5% to 4%.

That's pretty embarrassing. Gingrich is running out of funds and has no base left. His poll numbers are dropping nationwide.

Gingrich's strategy is very simple right now, he's out for blood. He is out to get both Paul and Romney and he doesn't care about how it affects his campaign. This could help the other candidates, but it's not likely.

I have a feeling Gingrich will run until he runs out of money despite his poll results and I suspect he'll run out sometime after FL. So I think that this is really a two horse race between Paul and Romney as they are the only two that have the money and support to really have a nationwide campaign. There may be a third conservative choice (which Perry, Santorum, and to a lesser extint Gingrich are aiming for) but I suspect that not even that will really be a threat.

Now if it goes down to just Paul and Romney, I think we're going to see a real tug of war and it could be tight. So let's see what happens.

I don't believe Ron Paul will be the Republican candidate even though I agree with most of his policies. The Republican Party wants more of a polished individual like Mitt who looks good, always dresses well. Mitt tries occasionally, to come down to the level of the working class by dressing in jeans and a work shirt but it doesn't sell.

Those who understand character could see right through Mitt Romney. I do wish that Ron Paul had more support to be the leading candidate.

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