Do you think "Paul The Octopus" can correctly predict the outcome of world cup football matches?

Well, the success rate so far is 80% so I guess if you are a betting man, 80% odds are pretty good!

The latest prediction is Spain to beat Germany in the semis so all you German fans out there keep your fingers cross cause in this match up Paul has been wrong before. In the 2008 European Championship he picked Germany to win but Spain took the match beating Germany 1-0.

Of course not. Any apparent success is purely by chance. Even experts find football unpredictable to forecast results.

Because it is low scoring, surprise results are more common than other sports. This gives lesser teams a good chance to produce a giant-killing upset. It is made worse by the generally low standard of refereeing, failure to penalise cheating sufficiently, and refusal by ruling bodies to use replays and technology to ensure more accurate results.

There are countless types of augury, none of which perform better than chance in controlled tests. Oracles in classical times looked at the entrails of slaughtered animals or the flight of birds. Others cast runes, roll dice or flip coins.

None has any relation to the subject and none gives any prescience of the events.

I cant really gove you an answer,but what I can give you is a way to a solution, that is you have to find the anglde that you relate to or peaks your interest. A good paper is one that people get drawn into because it reaches them ln some way.As for me WW11 to me, I think of the holocaust and the effect it had on the survivors, their families and those who stood by and did nothing until it was too late.

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