Care to speculate on Madoff's life expectancy?

Bernie Madoff’s alleged Ponzi scheme may have claimed its first victim. Rene-Thierry Magon de la Villehuchet, 65, who founded hedge fund Access International Advisors, was found dead Tuesday in the firm’s New York office, an apparent suicide . Under a new bail agreement, Bernard L.

Madoff will be placed under 24-hour house arrest at his East Side apartment and will hire a team of security guards to watch his apartment building around the clock, federal prosecutors said on Friday. The new restrictions on Mr. Madoff’s movements appear intended to protect as well as confine him. In a letter delivered by hand to Magistrate Judge Gabriel W.

Former prosecutors said that such language was unusual and could reflect threats received by Mr. Madoff, who has received widespread condemnation since his arrest last week in a $50 billion financial fraud. While who in addition to the FBI is guarding Madoff is not public knowledge, the pool of likely firms includes those who keep foreign heads of state alive when they come to the UN. Considering how much more common it is for those folks to die back home than in New York, I'd say it's more likely than not that Madoff will die in prison.

Whether he dies there from natural causes or at the hands of a fellow inmate likely has more to do with how seriously the prison takes threats against Madoff than any other factor. But I don't have enough data to guess on that outcome.