Does the CDL match the official state and county level NASS estimates?

The simple answer is no. As explained in the Program Methodology section, NASS adjusts the CDL results by using a regression estimator and ground gathered data from farm operators. The farmer reported data is strictly confidential and only available to NASS employees in a secure NASS facility.

The regression estimates are only one input to official state and county crop acreage estimates. In addition to regression estimates, NASS staff use the results of farmer reported data from surveys, Farm Service Agency data where available, agri-business data and the Census of Agriculture data. Thus, the official estimate is the single best number that NASS can come up with giving all of the inputs some representation.

The one major advantage of the classified data is that it is available at a geographic level well below the county level. More.

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